Strong Earnings Outlook for Nearly 1,000 Listed Companies
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As of February 17th, a remarkable total of 2,817 publicly listed companies within China’s stock market (A-shares) have disclosed their performance forecasts for the year 2024. Among these, a notable 949 companies have anticipated favorable outcomes, sparking interest among investors and analysts alike. The sectors showing particularly strong projections include biopharmaceuticals, semiconductors, chemicals, general equipment manufacturing, automotive manufacturing, and transportation, indicating a period of robust growth across multiple industries.
This surge in financial optimism is exemplified by several companies projecting substantial increases in net profits. Among those announcing their 2024 performance forecasts, approximately 665 firms expect a minimum net profit exceeding 100 million RMB, while 229 anticipate profits of over 500 million RMB, and 125 foresee net profits surpassing 1 billion RMB. Furthermore, 23 companies predict profits exceeding 5 billion RMB. Noteworthy players such as Kweichow Moutai, China Shenhua, COSCO Shipping Holdings, CATL, Zijin Mining, and Muyuan Foods stand out with their impressive profit forecasts, securing high ranks in anticipated earnings.
Kweichow Moutai, one of the giants in the liquor industry, has unveiled its production and operational outlook for 2024. The company estimates producing approximately 56,300 tons of its Moutai liquor while forecasting total revenue around 173.8 billion RMB – a 15.44% year-on-year increase. Specifically, the expected net profit attributable to shareholders is about 85.7 billion RMB, reflecting a growth of 14.67%. Such figures highlight not only Moutai’s storied reputation but also its continued dominance within the premium liquor market.
Similarly, CATL, a leader in battery manufacturing, anticipates a net profit ranging between 49 billion to 53 billion RMB, marking an increase of about 11.06% to 20.12% over the previous year. Despite witnessing growth in battery product sales, CATL acknowledged a decrease in revenue attributed to falling prices of raw materials, including lithium carbonate. Nonetheless, the company has excelled due to enhanced technological capabilities and competitive product offerings. Their active push for innovation and collaborative parental relationships yielded positive impacts across various markets, underscoring CATL's ability to maintain a steady growth trajectory.
When analyzing net profit growth metrics, excluding losses turned into profits, an impressive 884 companies expect profit increases exceeding 10%, while 730 projects rises with more than 30%, and 207 anticipate over 100%. Companies like STMicroelectronics, North China Pharmaceutical, and DMILL soon surfaced as leaders in expected profit growth, prompting institutional attention.

The timeline for 2024 annual report disclosures is heating up, with companies like Jucan Optoelectronics and Compass being among the first to release their reports on January 24. Following that, several others, including Jiasheng International and Tonghuashun, are scheduled to announce their detailed financial performances from February 19 to March 1. This wave of transparency is expected to draw significant scrutiny and enthusiasm from investors eagerly evaluating the fiscal health of these companies.
Diving deeper into the industry specifics, the biopharmaceutical sector, which has generated considerable interest, appears set for recovery. According to Minsheng Securities, from the fourth quarter of 2024 onward, the pharmaceutical sector will enter a phase of continual recovery. This shift is anticipated to be fueled by policies from local governments that aim to support the swift development of innovative drugs. Investors are encouraged to focus on quality assets in pharma innovation and consumption areas, which are expected to drive firm growth.
The consumer electronics sector shows a notable upswing as well. Gree’s forecast for 2024 indicates a net profit of between 2.557 billion and 2.775 billion RMB, showcasing explosive growth figures of 135% to 155%. This rebound in consumer demand is largely attributed to advancements in new technologies such as AI. The positive trend is further supported by the company's strategic enhancements in operations and its focus on valuable partnerships, allowing for a significant improvement in profitability compared to the previous year.
Moreover, STMicroelectronics has drawn substantial interest following their upbeat performance predictions. They project annual revenues between 5.8 billion to 6.1 billion RMB, reflecting a staggering growth rate of 103% to 113%, alongside an anticipated net profit increase of approximately 2,512% to 2,830%. The company’s strategic focus on high-performance security products bolstered its revenue growth significantly, attracting numerous institutional inquiries post-disclosure.
An intriguing trend among these prospective profit-boosting entities is their active engagement in share buybacks, signaling confidence in their financial health and market positioning. Kweichow Moutai recently made headlines with its announcement regarding share repurchase efforts, revealing their acquisition of 685,100 shares to date, accounting for 0.0545% of its total capital. The share price fluctuated, with purchases made at prices ranging from 1,436.48 RMB to 1,507.41 RMB, culminating in an investment nearing 1 billion RMB (excluding transaction costs).
Add to this the actions of Muyuan Foods, which has committed to a buyback initiative with an estimated total investment between 3 billion to 4 billion RMB. By January 31, they had already repurchased about 31.24 million shares, demonstrating their aggressive approach to reinforcing shareholder value in a promising market landscape. This proactive strategy showcases the willingness of firms to fortify their stock amidst a robust profit outlook, reflecting an optimistic market sentiment.
Ultimately, the forthcoming year promises to be an exciting chapter for A-share companies. With numerous sectors poised for growth and significant financial regulations coming into play, investors and stakeholders alike are keenly observing how these dynamic shifts will unfold in the market. As the anticipation for annual reports builds, one can expect a stimulating environment rich with potential and opportunity for those willing to engage exuberantly with the evolving narrative of the Chinese financial landscape.
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